Birth rate in Poland is at rock bottom. Psychologist: The problem lies in upbringing, not economic barriers
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising young people - assessed psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in their desire to have children.
In an interview with PAP, the expert pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with a greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as the Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we have been warning that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in the upbringing of young people. In recent years, we have observed a steady decline in the desire of Polish teenagers to have a family and children in adulthood - and this is a decline from a level that was already low. In our opinion, if we want to hope to achieve generation replacement (even at the classically reported average level of 2.1 children per couple), we must support them in developing their dreams in this direction already at the adolescence stage, because contemporary culture does not support such desires," said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noted that studies of teenagers' desires to have children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if they had fulfilled their dreams 100%, we would have achieved a fertility rate of around 1.8. "During the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate dropped to around 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (N = 21,265), this rate was at 1.63 - higher among boys (1.71) and lower among girls (1.54)," the expert calculated.
"If we have dreams in the 11-17 age group at the level of 1.63, then realistically speaking, in the future, when the dreams of this generation are verified by the realities of adult life, they will reach a much lower fertility rate - maybe at the level of 1.2. This means a further deepening demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving simple generation replacement would be possible if teenagers' desires regarding future fertility were at the level of 2.5".
As he emphasized, in the latest studies (2023/2024), the fertility rate in the dreams of boys in the 11-17 age group is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level for 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds and 17-year-olds. On the other hand, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven-year-olds have a fertility rate in their dreams of 1.7, while seventeen-year-olds have a level below 1.4," indicated Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among the female sex result largely from "contemporary mass culture, which promotes self-fulfilment, and at the same time are a side effect of the culture and equality policy, supporting women's extra-family aspirations, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple motherhood." "We can therefore expect fewer and fewer children from year to year," he stated.
The psychologist said that in light of the IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023), out of many of the youth's life goals examined, indicating only one is associated with better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less risky behavior. "This goal is +happy family life for children+" - he indicated.
In the latest IPZIN study from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal was indicated by 27% of young people. "It is indicated less often than 'making a professional career', which was declared by 40% of respondents, 'gaining a lot of wealth' (33%) or 'lasting love, friendship' (48%)," noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that meaningful and long-term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal that is long-term in nature, and at the same time, the well-being of others is at its center," he added.
He admitted that there is also a reverse relationship – if someone is in poor mental condition, it is harder for them to dream about positive long-term things. “If I feel bad in life, if it is hard for me, then I do not feel like calling others into existence,” the expert summed up.
"The analyses by the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor in the reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with married couples whose love is an example for the surveyed teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a steady decline has been observed in the percentage of young people who saw around them an example of a marriage whose love is a point of positive reference for them. "In 2002, it was 66%, in 2011 - 60%, in 2021-2022 - 48%, and in 2024 it was 46%," said the expert.
"In our opinion, preventive actions should provide young people with opportunities for direct contact with good, loving couples. These could be grandparents, representing the older generation, or loving couples in the extended family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the Central Statistical Office, the population of Poland at the end of 2024 decreased by 147 thousand compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10 thousand people, 39 people disappeared. The population of Poland has been decreasing since 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development should be expected in the near future. This is indicated by the very low level of births, high number of deaths, and also lower than in 2023 number of marriages.
The changes in the population in recent years have been primarily influenced by natural increase, which has remained negative since 2013. In 2024 – as reported by the Central Statistical Office – the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural increase rate (per 1,000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
mgw/ aba/ mhr/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising young people - assessed psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in their desire to have children.
In an interview with PAP, the expert pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with a greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as the Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we have been warning that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in the upbringing of young people. In recent years, we have observed a steady decline in the desire of Polish teenagers to have a family and children in adulthood - and this is a decline from a level that was already low. In our opinion, if we want to hope to achieve generation replacement (even at the classically reported average level of 2.1 children per couple), we must support them in developing their dreams in this direction already at the adolescence stage, because contemporary culture does not support such desires," said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noted that studies of teenagers' desires to have children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if they had fulfilled their dreams 100%, we would have achieved a fertility rate of around 1.8. "During the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate dropped to around 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (N = 21,265), this rate was at 1.63 - higher among boys (1.71) and lower among girls (1.54)," the expert calculated.
"If we have dreams in the 11-17 age group at the level of 1.63, then realistically speaking, in the future, when the dreams of this generation are verified by the realities of adult life, they will reach a much lower fertility rate - maybe at the level of 1.2. This means a further deepening demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving simple generation replacement would be possible if teenagers' desires regarding future fertility were at the level of 2.5".
As he emphasized, in the latest studies (2023/2024), the fertility rate in the dreams of boys in the 11-17 age group is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level for 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds and 17-year-olds. On the other hand, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven-year-olds have a fertility rate in their dreams of 1.7, while seventeen-year-olds have a level below 1.4," indicated Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among the female sex result largely from "contemporary mass culture, which promotes self-fulfilment, and at the same time are a side effect of the culture and equality policy, supporting women's extra-family aspirations, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple motherhood." "We can therefore expect fewer and fewer children from year to year," he stated.
The psychologist said that in light of the IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023), out of many of the youth's life goals examined, indicating only one is associated with better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less risky behavior. "This goal is +happy family life for children+" - he indicated.
In the latest IPZIN study from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal was indicated by 27% of young people. "It is indicated less often than 'making a professional career', which was declared by 40% of respondents, 'gaining a lot of wealth' (33%) or 'lasting love, friendship' (48%)," noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that meaningful and long-term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal that is long-term in nature, and at the same time, the well-being of others is at its center," he added.
He admitted that there is also a reverse relationship – if someone is in poor mental condition, it is harder for them to dream about positive long-term things. “If I feel bad in life, if it is hard for me, then I do not feel like calling others into existence,” the expert summed up.
"The analyses by the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor in the reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with married couples whose love is an example for the surveyed teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a steady decline has been observed in the percentage of young people who saw around them an example of a marriage whose love is a point of positive reference for them. "In 2002, it was 66%, in 2011 - 60%, in 2021-2022 - 48%, and in 2024 it was 46%," said the expert.
"In our opinion, preventive actions should provide young people with opportunities for direct contact with good, loving couples. These could be grandparents, representing the older generation, or loving couples in the extended family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the Central Statistical Office, the population of Poland at the end of 2024 decreased by 147 thousand compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10 thousand people, 39 people disappeared. The population of Poland has been decreasing since 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development should be expected in the near future. This is indicated by the very low level of births, high number of deaths, and also lower than in 2023 number of marriages.
The changes in the population in recent years have been primarily influenced by natural increase, which has remained negative since 2013. In 2024 – as reported by the Central Statistical Office – the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural increase rate (per 1,000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
mgw/ aba/ mhr/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising young people - assessed psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in their desire to have children.
In an interview with PAP, the expert pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with a greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as the Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we have been warning that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in the upbringing of young people. In recent years, we have observed a steady decline in the desire of Polish teenagers to have a family and children in adulthood - and this is a decline from a level that was already low. In our opinion, if we want to hope to achieve generation replacement (even at the classically reported average level of 2.1 children per couple), we must support them in developing their dreams in this direction already at the adolescence stage, because contemporary culture does not support such desires," said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noted that studies of teenagers' desires to have children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if they had fulfilled their dreams 100%, we would have achieved a fertility rate of around 1.8. "During the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate dropped to around 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (N = 21,265), this rate was 1.63 - higher among boys (1.71) and lower among girls (1.54)," the expert calculated.
"If we have dreams in the 11-17 age group at the level of 1.63, then realistically speaking, in the future, when the dreams of this generation are verified by the realities of adult life, they will reach a much lower fertility rate - maybe at the level of 1.2. This means a further deepening demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving simple generation replacement would be possible if teenagers' desires regarding future fertility were at the level of 2.5".
As he emphasized, in the latest studies (2023/2024), the fertility rate in the dreams of boys in the 11-17 age group is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level for 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds and 17-year-olds. On the other hand, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven-year-olds have a fertility rate in their dreams of 1.7, while seventeen-year-olds have a level below 1.4," indicated Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among the female sex result largely from "contemporary mass culture, which promotes self-fulfilment, and at the same time are a side effect of the culture and equality policy, supporting women's extra-family aspirations, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple motherhood." "We can therefore expect fewer and fewer children from year to year," he stated.
The psychologist said that in light of the IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023), out of many of the youth's life goals examined, indicating only one is associated with better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less risky behavior. "This goal is +happy family life for children+" - he indicated.
In the latest IPZIN study from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal was indicated by 27% of young people. "It is indicated less often than 'making a professional career', which was declared by 40% of respondents, 'gaining a lot of wealth' (33%) or 'lasting love, friendship' (48%)," noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that meaningful and long-term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal that is long-term in nature, and at the same time, the well-being of others is at its center," he added.
He admitted that there is also a reverse relationship – if someone is in poor mental condition, it is harder for them to dream about positive long-term things. “If I feel bad in life, if it is hard for me, then I do not feel like calling others into existence,” the expert summed up.
"The analyses by the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor in the reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with married couples whose love is an example for the surveyed teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a steady decline has been observed in the percentage of young people who saw around them an example of a marriage whose love is a point of positive reference for them. "In 2002, it was 66%, in 2011 - 60%, in 2021-2022 - 48%, and in 2024 it was 46%," said the expert.
"In our opinion, preventive actions should provide young people with opportunities for direct contact with good, loving couples. These could be grandparents, representing the older generation, or loving couples in the extended family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the Central Statistical Office, the population of Poland at the end of 2024 decreased by 147 thousand compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10 thousand people, 39 people disappeared. The population of Poland has been decreasing since 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development should be expected in the near future. This is indicated by the very low level of births, high number of deaths, and also lower than in 2023 number of marriages.
The changes in the population in recent years have been primarily influenced by natural increase, which has remained negative since 2013. In 2024 – as reported by the Central Statistical Office – the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural increase rate (per 1,000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
mgw/ aba/ mhr/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising young people - assessed psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in their desire to have children.
In an interview with PAP, the expert pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with a greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as the Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we have been warning that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in the upbringing of young people. In recent years, we have observed a steady decline in the desire of Polish teenagers to have a family and children in adulthood - and this is a decline from a level that was already low. In our opinion, if we want to hope to achieve generation replacement (even at the classically reported average level of 2.1 children per couple), we must support them in developing their dreams in this direction already at the adolescence stage, because contemporary culture does not support such desires," said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noted that studies of teenagers' desires to have children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if they had fulfilled their dreams 100%, we would have achieved a fertility rate of around 1.8. "During the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate dropped to around 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (N = 21,265), this rate was at 1.63 - higher among boys (1.71) and lower among girls (1.54)," the expert calculated.
"If we have dreams in the 11-17 age group at the level of 1.63, then realistically speaking, in the future, when the dreams of this generation are verified by the realities of adult life, they will reach a much lower fertility rate - maybe at the level of 1.2. This means a further deepening demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving simple generation replacement would be possible if teenagers' desires regarding future fertility were at the level of 2.5".
As he emphasized, in the latest studies (2023/2024), the fertility rate in the dreams of boys in the 11-17 age group is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level for 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds and 17-year-olds. On the other hand, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven-year-olds have a fertility rate in their dreams of 1.7, while seventeen-year-olds have a level below 1.4," indicated Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among the female sex result largely from "contemporary mass culture, which promotes self-fulfilment, and at the same time are a side effect of the culture and equality policy, supporting women's extra-family aspirations, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple motherhood." "We can therefore expect fewer and fewer children from year to year," he stated.
The psychologist said that in light of the IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023), out of many of the youth's life goals examined, indicating only one is associated with better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less risky behavior. "This goal is +happy family life for children+" - he indicated.
In the latest IPZIN study from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal was indicated by 27% of young people. "It is indicated less often than 'making a professional career', which was declared by 40% of respondents, 'gaining a lot of wealth' (33%) or 'lasting love, friendship' (48%)," noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that meaningful and long-term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal that is long-term in nature, and at the same time, the well-being of others is at its center," he added.
He admitted that there is also a reverse relationship – if someone is in poor mental condition, it is harder for them to dream about positive long-term things. “If I feel bad in life, if it is hard for me, then I do not feel like calling others into existence,” the expert summed up.
"The analyses by the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor in the reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with married couples whose love is an example for the surveyed teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a steady decline has been observed in the percentage of young people who saw around them an example of a marriage whose love is a point of positive reference for them. "In 2002, it was 66%, in 2011 - 60%, in 2021-2022 - 48%, and in 2024 it was 46%," said the expert.
"In our opinion, preventive actions should provide young people with opportunities for direct contact with good, loving couples. These could be grandparents, representing the older generation, or loving couples in the extended family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the Central Statistical Office, the population of Poland at the end of 2024 decreased by 147 thousand compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10 thousand people, 39 people disappeared. The population of Poland has been decreasing since 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development should be expected in the near future. This is indicated by the very low level of births, high number of deaths, and also lower than in 2023 number of marriages.
The changes in the population in recent years have been primarily influenced by natural increase, which has remained negative since 2013. In 2024 – as reported by the Central Statistical Office – the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural increase rate (per 1,000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
mgw/ aba/ mhr/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising young people - assessed psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in their desire to have children.
In an interview with PAP, the expert pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with a greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as the Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we have been warning that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in the upbringing of young people. In recent years, we have observed a steady decline in the desire of Polish teenagers to have a family and children in adulthood - and this is a decline from a level that was already low. In our opinion, if we want to hope to achieve generation replacement (even at the classically reported average level of 2.1 children per couple), we must support them in developing their dreams in this direction already at the adolescence stage, because contemporary culture does not support such desires," said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noted that studies of teenagers' desires to have children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if they had fulfilled their dreams 100%, we would have achieved a fertility rate of around 1.8. "During the COVID-19 pandemic, the rate dropped to around 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (N = 21,265), this rate was at 1.63 - higher among boys (1.71) and lower among girls (1.54)," the expert calculated.
"If we have dreams in the 11-17 age group at the level of 1.63, then realistically speaking, in the future, when the dreams of this generation are verified by the realities of adult life, they will reach a much lower fertility rate - maybe at the level of 1.2. This means a further deepening demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving simple generation replacement would be possible if teenagers' desires regarding future fertility were at the level of 2.5".
As he emphasized, in the latest studies (2023/2024), the fertility rate in the dreams of boys in the 11-17 age group is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level for 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds and 17-year-olds. On the other hand, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven-year-olds have a fertility rate in their dreams of 1.7, while seventeen-year-olds have a level below 1.4," indicated Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among the female sex result largely from "contemporary mass culture, which promotes self-fulfilment, and at the same time are a side effect of the culture and equality policy, supporting women's extra-family aspirations, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple motherhood." "We can therefore expect fewer and fewer children from year to year," he stated.
The psychologist said that in light of the IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023), out of many of the youth's life goals examined, indicating only one is associated with better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less risky behavior. "This goal is +happy family life for children+" - he indicated.
In the latest IPZIN study from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal was indicated by 27% of young people. "It is indicated less often than 'making a professional career', which was declared by 40% of respondents, 'gaining a lot of wealth' (33%) or 'lasting love, friendship' (48%)," noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that meaningful and long-term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal that is long-term in nature, and at the same time, the well-being of others is at its center," he added.
He admitted that there is also a reverse relationship – if someone is in poor mental condition, it is harder for them to dream about positive long-term things. “If I feel bad in life, if it is hard for me, then I do not feel like calling others into existence,” the expert summed up.
"The analyses by the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor in the reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with married couples whose love is an example for the surveyed teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a steady decline has been observed in the percentage of young people who saw around them an example of a marriage whose love is a point of positive reference for them. "In 2002, it was 66%, in 2011 - 60%, in 2021-2022 - 48%, and in 2024 it was 46%," said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
The essence of the demographic problem in Poland lies not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man - said psychologist Dr. Szymon Grzelak, president of the Institute of Integrated Prevention. He emphasized that young people need to be supported in the desire to have children.
The expert in an interview with PAP pointed out that religiosity is a factor associated with greater desire to have children.
"For 10 years, as an Institute of Integrated Prevention (IPZIN), we alert that the essence of the demographic problem in Poland is not in economic or social barriers, but in raising a young man. In recent years, we observe in Polish teenagers a permanent decrease in the desire to have in adult life of family and children - and this is a decrease from a level that was already low. generations (even on a classically administered average level of 2.1 child per pair), we must already support them at the stage of growing up in developing dreams in this direction, because the modern culture of such desires does not support, "said the expert.
Dr. Grzelak noticed that the research of teen desires about having children in the future 10-12 years ago showed that if in 100 percent. They realized their dreams, we would get a fertility rate at the level of about 1.8. "During the Covid-19 pandemic period, the indicator fell to a level of about 1.5. In turn, in the latest studies from the 2023/2024 school year (n = 21 265) this indicator was at 1.63-higher among boys (1.71), and lower among girls (1.54)"-calculated the expert.
"If we have dreams in a group of 11-17 at 1.63, then realistically, in the future, when the dreams of this generation verify the realities of adult life, they will achieve a much lower fertility rate-maybe at 1.2. This means further deepening of the demographic collapse," said the expert. He noted that achieving a simple replacement of generations would be possible if teen desires regarding future fertility were at 2.5 ″.
He emphasized that in the latest research (2023/2024) the fertility rate in boys' dreams in the range of 11-17 years is not only higher than in girls, but remains at a similar level in 11-year-olds, 14-year-olds or 17-year-olds. However, among girls, the desire to have children (and their dream number) decreases with age. "Eleven -year -old fertility in their dreams is at 1.7 and seventeen -year -olds at the level below 1.4" - pointed out Dr. Grzelak.
In his opinion, changes among female are largely "from contemporary mass culture, which promotes self -realization, and at the same time are a side effect of equality culture and policy, supporting non -family aspirations of women, which are difficult to reconcile with dreams of motherhood, especially multiple." "We can therefore expect few and fewer children from year to year," he said.
The psychologist said that in the light of IPZIN research published in the report "How to support young people in an unstable world?" (2023) From among many studied life goals of young people, an indication of only one is associated with a better mental condition, less use of psychoactive substances, less undertaking risky behaviors. "This goal is +happy family life of children +" - he pointed out.
In the latest IPZIN studies from the 2023/2024 school year, this goal indicated 27 percent. youth. "It is less frequently indicated than +making a professional career +, which declared (40 percent of respondents), +acquiring large assets +(33 percent) or +permanent love, friendship +(48 percent)" - noted Dr. Grzelak.
He noted that sensible and long -term life goals are conducive to mental health. "Family and children are a life goal, which is long -term, and at the same time in its center is the good of others," he added.
He admitted that there is also the opposite relationship - if someone has a poor mental condition, it is more difficult for him to dream of positive long -term things. "If he feels bad in his life, if it is hard for him, then I do not want to appoint others," said the expert.
"The analyzes of the Institute of Integrated Prevention show that an important factor of reluctance to have children is the lack of personal contact with marriages whose love is an example for the studied teenager," said Dr. Grzelak.
In research conducted by the Institute since 2002, a permanent decrease in the percentage of young people who saw an example of marriage, whose love is a positive reference for them, has been observed. "In 2002 it was 66 percent, in 2011-60 percent, in 2021-2022-48 percent, and 2024 there were 46 percent." - said the expert.
"In our opinion, in preventive measures, you should create an opportunity for direct contact with good, loving marriages. They can be, for example, grandparents - representing the older generation or loving marriages in the further family or among friends," said the psychologist.
According to the CSO data, the population in Poland at the end of 2024 fell by 147 thousand. compared to 2023 and amounted to 37 million 489 thousand. This means that for every 10,000 39 people lost the population. The population in Poland is decreasing from 2012.
According to the Central Statistical Office, in the near future there should be no significant changes ensuring stable demographic development. This is indicated by a very low level of birth, a high number of deaths, as well as a lower number of marriages than in 2023.
In recent years, changes in the population in recent years are primarily influenced by a natural increase, which remains negative from 2013. In 2024 - as Gus said - the number of births was lower than the number of deaths by almost 157 thousand. This means that the natural growth factor (per 1000 population) was -4.2 and decreased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to last year.
Magdalena Gronek (PAP)
MGW/ ABA/ MHR/
dziennik
