Political Election Polls: Meloni and Conte's Twists, the Latest Supermedia on Parties

YouTrend calculation for Agi
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There are at least two pieces of news within a panorama of parties that has been swamped for years, which does not foresee surprises, twists or reversals. And in fact the balance of power between majority and opposition, between leading parties and satellites remain unchanged. At least two signs, one positive and one negative, are however noticeable within the latest Supermedia YouTrend for Agi . The variations were calculated compared to last June 19th.
The negative performance of Fratelli d'Italia is quite sensational, losing 0.8% . Almost one percentage point less for the party of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni , who in truth remains untouchable at the top of the list and by far the clear and dominant leader of the governing coalition . Likewise, the growth of over half a percentage point by the 5 Star Movement is noteworthy, rising by 0.6% to 12.7%.
Perhaps it is because of the extreme opposition to war and armaments in the times of wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, of Europe seeking its raison d'être in international geopolitics, of NATO voting for an increase in spending to 5% of GDP. Perhaps, it is not clear why, in the meantime the former Prime Minister and "people's lawyer" Giuseppe Conte smiles.
📊 #Supermedia Youtrend for @Agenzia_Italia polls on voting intentions (and change compared to June 19): FdI 29.1% (-0.8) PD 22.4% (-0.3) M5S 12.7% (+0.6) FI 8.9% (-0.1) League 8.6% (+0.2) AVS 6.3% (-0.2) Action 3.3% (+0.1) IV 1.9% (-0.3) +And 1.8% (-0.1)
NM 0.9%… pic.twitter.com/H4SzA40lcZ
— Youtrend (@you_trend) July 4, 2025
The same cannot be said at Nazareno, where the Democratic Party of secretary Elly Schlein never gets out of the neighborhood. It loses 0.3%, is at 22.4%. It clearly distances the M5s but is also outnumbered by Fdi. Forza Italia continues to beat the League in the internal derby of the center-right government, even if the Azzurri have a negative sign and the Carroccio a positive one. They are at 8.9% and 8.6%. The Green Left Alliance loses 0.2% to 6.4.
At the bottom of the list, the moderate center of the former Third Pole is not taking off. Carlo Calenda 's Azione is at 3.3%, while former prime minister and ally Matteo Renzi loses 0.3%, slipping to 1.9%. +Europa is in the negative, even if only by 0.1%, at 1.8%. Maurizio's Noi Moderati, the fourth leg of the government alliance, is always stable at 0.9%.
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