USMNT vs. Mexico prediction, odds, start time: 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup Final picks, props by top soccer expert

The USMNT battle Mexico in the 2025 Concacaf Gold Cup Final on Sunday evening. Both teams enter the match unbeaten in the competition despite the Americans missing some key pieces. The USMNT, winners of Group D, are coming off a 2-1 win over Guatemala in the semifinals. Mexico, which won Group A, downed Honduras 1-0 in their semifinal.

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET at NRG Stadium in Houston. Mexico are listed at +150 (risk $100 to win $150) on the 90-minute money line, while the United States are +215 underdog in the latest USMNT vs. Mexico odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. A draw is priced at +200, and the over/under for total goals is 2.5. USA's Patrick Agyemang is +195 to score or assist, while Mexico's over/under for total team corners is 4.5. Before making any USA vs. Mexico picks, you need to see what SportsLine's Jon "Buckets" Eimer has to say.

Eimer is a high-volume bettor who has vast knowledge of leagues and players across the globe. Since joining SportsLine, he has covered the English Premier League, Serie A, the FA Cup and much more. He finished 2023 as SportsLine's No. 1 soccer expert, posting a 248-234-12 (+25.93 units) record on SportsLine article picks. Eimer has a winning record of 260-133-1 with over 90 units of profit for his community on various sportsbooks and betting apps over a recent two-month stretch. Anyone who follows his soccer betting picks could be way up.

Now, Eimer has set its sights on United States vs. Mexico and just locked in his picks and analysis. You can head to SportsLine now to see Eimer's picks. You can also use a DraftKings promo code or a FanDuel promo code.

USMNT vs. Mexico 90-minute money line	USA +215, Draw +200, Mexico +150 at DraftKings Sportsbook
USMNT vs. Mexico over/under	2.5 goals
USMNT vs. Mexico to win the Cup	United States +105, Mexico -135
USMNT vs. Mexico picks	See picks at SportsLine
How to watch USMNT vs. Mexico	Fubo (Try for free)

Why Mexico can win

The defensive-minded Mexico squad have logged four clean sheets in the competition, and blanked the United States 2-0 in an international friendly this past October. Goalkeeper Luis Malagon has been solid in net, and has not allowed a goal since a 3-2 win over the Dominican Republic in the group stage. The 28-year-old, who plays for America in the Liga Mexico, logged 29 starts this past season and registered 10 clean sheets. In 29 starts, he allowed just 27 goals and had a 74.2 saves percentage.

Helping lead the Mexican offense is forward Raul Jimenez. The 34-year-old scored the only goal in the win over Honduras and had another in the 3-2 win over the Dominican Republic in group play. In 30 starts for Brighton & Hove Albion of the English Premier League, he scored 12 goals and added three assists this past season. He also took 95 shots with 32 on target. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the United States can win

Midfielder Malik Tillman has provided much-needed offense for the Americans. In five Gold Cup matches, he has registered three goals and two assists. He had two goals in a 5-0 win over Trinidad and Tobago on June 15. He also scored in a 2-1 win over Haiti. In 22 starts for PSV Eindhoven in the Dutch Eredivisie, Tillman registered 12 goals and added two assists on 57 shots, including 22 on target.

Also helping power the USMNT is midfielder Diego Luna. The 21-year-old has three goals and two assists in Gold Cup action. He scored both goals for the Americans in the win over Guatemala. He also added a goal against Costa Rica. In 16 starts for Real Salt Lake of the MLS, he has scored eight goals and added four assists on 32 shots, including 12 on target. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make USMNT vs. Mexico picks

Eimer has broken down the CONCACAF Gold Cup Final match from every angle. He is leaning under the goal total and has identified three other picks for United States vs. Mexico, including a plus-money prop. Head to SportsLine to see his analysis and top picks.

So who wins USA vs. Mexico on Sunday, and what prop should you jump all over? Visit SportsLine now to find out which wagers in USMNT vs. Mexico have all the value, all from the soccer expert who was 86-59-5 on all Premier League soccer picks in 2023, and find out.